Tampa, FL: A Top Local Market to Watch in 2026

Oct. 14, 2025
2 min read

Key Highlights

  • Electrical sales are projected to reach nearly $1.5 billion in 2025.
  • The population is growing rapidly, with approximately 148 new residents moving in daily.
  • Storm damage repair continues from Hurricane Milton, which hit the area in Oct. 2024 and  caused $700-million in private and public property damage.

Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, MSA

The largest ongoing construction projects in the Tampa-St. Petersburg metro are a $1.5-billion airport project underway and  Phase 2 of the multi-billion-dollar Water Street development. There's also ongoing recovery efforts from Hurricane Milton hich hit the area in Oct. 2024, accordingto a rep[orts at www.foxnews13.com. The storm damaged 6,500 homes; completely destroyed 65 houses; caused $700-million in combined private and public property damage; and ripped the roof of the MLB Tampa Bay Rays' baseball stadium. New residents continue to moove to the Tampa Bay areas in big numbers, with an estimated 148 new residents moving in each day. according to Census Dept. population data.

 

 

SALES ESTIMATES

2025 Total Electrical Sales Estimate: $1497.3 million

Electrical Contractor $ Potential Estimate: $ 995.7 million

Industrial $ Sales Potential Estimate: $202.1 million

 

BUILDING PERMITS

Single-Family: 8,175 permits>

Multi-Family: 5,144 permits

 

POPULATION GROWTH

Population Estimate 2024: 3,424,560

# Change 2023-2024: 50,482

# Change 2020-2024: 236,590

New Residents per Day: 147.5

About the Author

Jim Lucy

Editor-in-Chief

Over the past 40-plus years, hundreds of Jim’s articles have been published in Electrical Wholesaling and Electrical Marketing newsletter on topics such as the impact of amazonsupply.com and other new competitors on the electrical market’s channels of distribution, energy-efficient lighting and renewables, and local market economics. In addition to his published work, Jim regularly gives presentations on these topics to C-suite executives, industry groups and investment analysts.

He recently launched a new subscription-based data product for Electrical Marketing that offers electrical sales potential estimates and related market data for more than 300 metropolitan areas, and in 1999 he published his first book, “The Electrical Marketer’s Survival Guide” for electrical industry executives looking for an overview of key market trends.

While managing Electrical Wholesaling’s editorial operations, Jim and the publication’s staff won several Jesse H. Neal awards for editorial excellence, the highest honor in the business press, and numerous national and regional awards from the American Society of Business Press Editors. He has a master’s degree in Communications and a bachelor’s degree in Journalism from Glassboro State College, Glassboro, N.J. (now Rowan University).

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